Phoenix Weather Forecast for November 2022 is based on . The average yearly temperature, through the end of October, of 74.4 is 0.9 above normal and ranks as the 7th warmest on record. There are indications that weak cutoff systems under the raging jet could bring more precipitation to Tucson than say even Phoenix, but the amount just doesnt look so high, but bears watching for that area sometime mid-month. If you click here, this is exactly what my model showed, which is telling me further that we remain on track to keep getting the long range right. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration One month remains in climatological Winter and so far it has been warmer (55.7 or +2.3) and slightly drier (1.62" or -0.18") than normal. Dating back to 1910, every year has had a least one daily rainfall record be broken. The airport needs to record around 0.37" of rain during December to escape being ranked in the top 10 driest years on record. More snow? Here's Michigan's winter 2022-2023 outlook In a couple of words: its nice! We recognize our responsibility to use data and technology for good. Areas south of the storm track (much of the Southeast) will see frequent storms bringing cold rains and a wintry mix . ajgarrison - Flickr BOOKMARK THE MAIN WEBSITE BY CLICKING HERE. For the first time since 2010, September recorded more triple digit high temperatures (8) than August did (7). La Nia conditions can have varying effects on weather patterns around the world. August 29, 2022 NOAA's 2022-2023 Winter Forecast The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration ( NOAA) makes long-range forecasts each month. Evening Weather Forecast - 2/26/23. With record to near-record heat blistering Colorado on Monday, you might think the smoke in the air is from a Colorado wildfire. Welcome back to the site after the holiday week. Winter 2021-2022 One month remains in climatological Winter and so far it has been warmer (55.7 or +2.3) and slightly drier (1.62" or -0.18") than normal. The 2021-22 water year ended up on the dry side with 6.97" being reported at the airport. Managing Editor Sandi Duncan says for our region, in the North Central . First 2022 Seasonal LONG RANGE Winter Forecasts from NOAA The exception is the summer thunderstorm season where the forecast for precipitation is a 36% chance that they will be above normal and a 31% chance that they will end up below normal. The cooling of these waters can have an atmospheric domino effect that influences weather patterns across the globe. Rainfall totals across the metro area ranged from 4" to 10" with localized higher amounts up to 15". Here was the tweet the office issued. During 2020,2021 and the first half of 2022 . The arrows point to the cooler than average water in the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean, indicative of La Nia. Dry with above normal high temperatures from the 5th to the 11th with highs in the mid-60's to the lower 70's. For more detailed information, click the link below. And that would bring a significantly colder risk to much of the northern U.S. this winter, according to Crawford. If you're looking forward to snow, mark January on your calendars. On social media:Find us on Facebook, Twitter, Instagram and YouTube. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 83 on the 14th to a low of 26 on the 3rd. This is the third February in the last four years that the average monthly temperature was below normal. BOOKMARK THE MAIN WEBSITE BY CLICKING HERE. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts a 47% chance of above normal temperatures and a 45% chance of below normal precipitation. The drought classification for the area degraded to D2 (Severe Drought) during May. Two daily record temperatures were set during the month. ARIZONA WEATHER FORCE MAIN: Arizona Weather Force Office Main Page For updates. This ties the monthly record previously set in 2017. It begins just at the backend of Arizonas monsoon season, which officially comes to a close on Sept. 30. Saturday marks the peak of the warming trend and temperatures will slowly decline throughout the next week. No matter which part of Arizona youre from (or plan to visit), winter is a great time to arrive. Rain and snow are moving across our state as we ring in the new year. For a more accurate weather forecast please select a city, Click on a day for an hourly weather forecast, Royal Palms Resort and Spa, part of Hyatt. Your California Privacy Rights / Privacy Policy. Gone are the ridiculously hot days, replaced with pleasant, mild ones perfect for hitting the trails in places you generally shouldnt hike in the summer (Phoenix comes to mind). Arizona weather in January 2024 | Arizona 14 day weather Generally, cool areas of the country are expected to see significant snowfalls before the start of December, although the almanac predicts Thanksgiving could have good weather in most areas of the U.S. Christmas, on the other hand, could be unsettled with either rain or snow depending on your local temperatures, the almanac says. The silver lining is that when warmer weather finally does arrive, we'll be even more grateful for it. Arizona Weather in Tucson Weather in Tucson in December 2022 Tucson Weather Forecast for December 2022 is based on statistical data. This story does not necessarily represent the position of our parent company, IBM. Today, Katie writes for the Texas and Arizona pages of OnlyInYourState.com and has never been more passionate about a job before. While its critics say its weather predictions are essentially a flip of the coin, Geiger said in general he has been told the forecasts are about 80% accurate and are especially on target when it comes to winter forecasts. 27, 2022 The posted Quail Forever forecast of a bird hatch in NM and AZ is pretty bleak with drought conditions continuing throughout the Southwest. The 30-year-old Musgrove is coming off the best season of his career and a stellar postseason run that included 7.0 dominant innings in a winner-take-all Wild Card Game 3 against the Mets in New York. This is the most of any calendar month thus far in the 21st century. A record cool high temperature was set on the 24th with a high of 67 breaking the record of 68 from 1936 & 1978. The newest edition of the 230-year-old series projects the 2021-22 winter as a particularly cold one, dubbing it the "season of shivers." The almanac's editor, Janice Stillman, says it could even . Add the current city. NWS The water year rainfall total 2.03" ranks as the 9th driest on record. For the most part, it looks like fairly, you know, pleasant, quiet kind of weather in September and a good part of October, Geiger said. Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of two-thirds of an inch (0.67") is two inches below normal and ranks as the 9th driest January through May period on record. Additionally this is the fifteenth April in the past seventeen that the airport recorded below normal rainfall. NWS Tucson Arizona. While anything is possible, it appears a season full of mellow days and drier air is ahead, so get your sweaters. The Weather Companys primary journalistic mission is to report on breaking weather news, the environment and the importance of science to our lives. NOTE: The Winter 2022 Tier for MEMBERS and ANYONE INTERESTED is OPEN FOR JANUARY THROUGH END FEBRUARY WITH REDUCED SEASONAL TIER RATES. The bottom line, according to Crawford, is this eruption isn't expected to be a significant influence on this winter's weather. On average, the Tucson airport records two days with thunderstorms. Combined with last years August average temperature being 1.2 below normal, this is the first back-to-back Augusts since 2005-06 to be below normal. But there's a potential curveball with La Nia this winter. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 0.28" which is over a half an inch below normal and ranks as the 38th driest January on record, tied with 1929. Winter 2022-2023 should be dominated by an active storm track in the eastern half of the country, running from the western Gulf of Mexico to the northeast, across the Virginias, and across interior New York State and New England. Click on hotel for more details. Phoenix, AZ Monthly Weather Forecast - weather.com - The Weather Channel The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 2.82" which is just over eight-tenths of an inch above normal and ranks as the 34th wettest August on record. Five record high minimum (low) temperatures were set or tied during the month. Farmers' Almanac predicting extreme winter forecast for most of US A couple of weak weather systems moved across the area on the 28th through 30th bringing the area another shot of valley rain and mountain snow. What is the chance of rain in Arizona in January? Essentially, the formula uses sunspot activity andthe effect the moon has on the earth to be able to predict weather about two years in advance. As usual, the polar vortex is another important wild card in the outlook. No matter how you like your winter, youre sure to find it in Arizona. For comparison through the end of March, the current climate normal period (1991-2020) average temperature is 57.4 while the previous climate normal period (1981-2010) average temperature was 56.1. Detailed Phoenix Weather Forecast for November 2022 - day/night temperatures, precipitations - World-Weather.info. The forecast for precipitation is a 33% chance that they will be above normal and a 33% chance that they will end up below normal. The upcoming El-Nino phase should make problems with drought mainly in the grain and corn belt in the USA in the second half of the season in 2022 and in 2023, while the Agriculture stress index in the southern USA should be more favorable, contrary to the years 2020, 2021 and the first half of 2022. The monthly average temperature of 54.0 is 1.0 ABOVE normal and ranks as the 25th warmest December on record, tied with 1995. The drought classification for the area stood at D2 (Severe Drought). The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded a trace of rain which is well below normal and ranks as the 16th driest November on record. Tracking NFL Coaches Fired After 2022 Season - NBC New York There are other puzzle pieces besides La Nia to consider in the forecast, which leads us to the next question. PHOENIX (3TV/CBS 5) Look for one last, mostly sunny day before an unsettled weather pattern arrives for the next few days in Arizona.Light winds and high clouds can be expected this morning . At least a somewhat colder February is also possible in the Pacific Northwest, Northern California and the central Plains. Precipitation: Below Average There were nine daily lows that were 80 or warmer. Weather in Tucson in December 2022 (Arizona) - Detailed Weather The Tucson International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, has recorded 1.80" which is four-tenths of an inch below normal and ranks as the 57th driest first quarter of the water year on record. Could La Nia bring another dry AZ winter, worsening drought? - KNXV View detailed forecast, WeatherTAB 2023. The first five months were rather dry with the airport only recording 0.67" or 2" below normal. November 2022 to October 2023 Winter will be warmer than normal, with above-normal precipitation. Winter- It's Coming! The last time back-to-back Octobers' were BELOW normal was back in the 1980's when there was a string of SEVEN straight BELOW normal Octobers' from 1980 to 1986. Phoenix, Arizona Long Range Weather Forecast | WeatherTAB Which City Is the Worst for Fall Allergies This Year? Winter, 2022. If youre planning to visit Arizona in the near future, we highly recommend that you review the 14 day weather forecast for Arizona before you arrive. US Dept of Commerce Perhaps the snow will even reach the desert lowlands! This ranks as the 13th driest Fall on record. Wildfires send smoke as temperatures near 100 degrees. The yearly rainfall total of 6.14" at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, ranks as the 10th driest January through November period on record. Toggle navigation. Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, were mostly below a third of an inch (0.33") with isolated spots recording up to 1.00". The possibilities are all there you just need to discover them. The wather in Arizona in January can vary between cold and nice weather days. Wildfire smoke forecast improves; heat pushes Poudre River to peak Severe thunderstorms hit portions on the metro area on the 21st and 26th.